RE: Russia Attacks Ukraine 03-07-2022, 12:33 AM
#21
(03-06-2022, 03:24 PM)Dismas Wrote:(03-06-2022, 08:12 AM)imgr8ness Wrote:(03-04-2022, 06:41 AM)Dismas Wrote: Austria, Czechoslovakia... Crimea, Ukraine. I can see why people make the comparison. The Soviet Union lost its erection (and remaining territories) in 1991. Russia is attempting to annex a territory that claimed independence almost 30 years ago.
I disagree, I don't think Putin wants to annex Ukraine at all, he simply doesn't want them joining NATO. Easy to understand since Ukraine is essentially a significant buffer between all of the western European countries who are NATO members. Just look at the NATO members on the world map, it looks like NATO is slowly moving to the east and I would be cagey too if my enemy was doing that.
Russia's attack on the Ukraine is sending a message to NATO but more importantly to the US that any further movements to the east are not acceptable.
Putin has said Ukraine will retain its independance and I believe he means that. However, I also believe that a situation could arise which would necessitate Putin actually retaining control of Ukraine but this would be in direct response to NATO or US actions, so it remains to be seen how this ends.
Ukraine needs to stay independent, at least maintain the appearance of being as such, so that both Russian and NATO can co-exist without conflict.
The US has retreated from Afghanistan though, and if follow history then you'll see the US always has a mortal enemy to focus on and this time it may actually be Russia.
You keep mentioning the US, but pretty much every other country is in opposition to the Russian occupation. Acknowledging a country's independence includes allowing them to decide who they form alliances with. Ukraine wasn't being considered for NATO, yet Putin felt threatened? He doesn't want them to be independent, he wants them to be a puppet state (at the very least).
Of course, an independent country should be able to decide who they form alliances with, in principal. However, as countries such as Ukraine share its border with others, it would be naive to think their actions have no impact on those around them. No country exists in a vacuum, many decisions a country makes can have massive ramifications for those around them.
Ukraine being where it is and its status as independent actually puts it at risk. I liken it to a new prison inmate who has no gang affiliations, entering a prison and being targeted by everyone until he joins a gang. In this instance, Ukraine is a new prison inmate facing the choice of joining either the US' gang (NATO) or Russia's.
So both the US and Russia want control of Ukraine, albeit without the obvious appearance of such. Both the US and Russia's method of control would be to install a puppet government, the only difference being that Russia would ideally do it surruptitiously by making sure it gets its agents into the top jobs and the US would do it by getting Ukraine to join NATO.
Ukraine wasn't being considered for NATO? Depends what you mean by 'considered'. At a NATO summit in Bucharest, 2008, it was stated 'NATO welcomes Ukraine’s and Georgia’s Euro-Atlantic aspirations for membership in NATO. We agreed today that these countries will become members of NATO. Both nations have made valuable contributions to Alliance operations.' I'm too new here to post links but do a google search with that phrase and you will get a result from the NATO site.
While Ukraine is still not a member currently, owing primarily to the upheaval since 2014, its clear that it is only a matter of time until it happens. Putin knows this, we all do.
When NATO made that statement in 2008, Putin didn't invade Ukraine. Its been 14 years since that was said so you have to ask the question, why would Putin decide to invade now? Clearly, he must have seen something coming with regards to Ukraine's NATO aspirations. Remember, we only know what is reported in the news or written in opinion pieces, we are not privy to the highly classified intelligence from either country so we will never truly know what is going on behind the scenes.
All I can say is this, my perspective is that this is not about 'right' or 'wrong', both the US and Russia want the same thing for the same reasons and in that regard, they are two sides of the same coin.